A guide to Decision 2018

In just six days, Essian voters will head to their nearest voting station to cast a ballot for their representatives in the Parlamenzalochas, and for who will become the third Heaminister of the Essian Commonwealth. As a public service, the Messenger is providing a comprehensive guide to the upcoming election.

When is the election, and why?

Essians go to the polls on 3 January. The last time Essians voted was 22 June, when the Green Party won a sixty percent majority in the Parlamenzalochas. It’s important to note that the number of seats in the Parlamenzalochas is never certain, and the election results are not binding; the Monarch has the final say on all appointments.

In June, Heaminister Frisch was reelected to his post by a supermajority of voters. The Greens operated a majority government under his authority. During this time, the Frisch government filed the “2017 Electoral Petition,” which asked Lord Henry to change the period between elections from one year to six months. The Monarch decreed the petition into law, but it was intended that the petition would not take effect until after the next election, informally planned to be held in May 2018.

Heaminister Frisch’s sudden resignation in November altered this plan, and so Lord Henry decreed the next election to be held 3 January, appointing himself Heaminister in the interim.

Right. So who’s competing for the Parlamenzalochas?

Essians get to choose between two registered political parties: the Greens and the Democrats. These two parties have been the sole parties in the Commonwealth since the last election, when their predecessors were dissolved.

The Greens are the party of former Heaminister Frisch, and have led a majority government since the June election. They were responsible for solving the Beiwing crisis (a central issue in the last election), the negotiation of the Treaty of Evansberg, and the ratification of the Micronational Declaration on Ecological Stewardship.

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A Green campaign poster.

Since the departure of former leader and Heaminister Frisch, the Greens have radicalized under the reign of eco-socialist MPs Artemis Langford and Newton von Uberquie.

The Democrats have a much less seasoned history. Since the June election, they have had three leaders, have been led in the Parlamenzalochas by three different leaders of the opposition, and aside from Horatio Eden’s brief stint as opposition leader, they have been almost completely inactive.

Despite this, a sudden and swift turnaround has the Democrats now the largest political party in the Commonwealth, and with a new leader and fresh membership, the party vows to be an active administration if elected.

Who are the candidates for Heaminister?

Each party has put forward one candidate in the Heaminister election.

The Greens have put forward Artemis Langford, who under the Second Frisch Term served as Minister of Charities. She is currently serving as Foreign Affairs Minister under His Majesty’s Term.

The ongoing election is one of the most important elections that Esse shall have in a long time. And it is important, that the Essian people choose a leader who can represent their interests in the best way possible. My opponent, Tarik Karjasari, is a great person, and its been an honor to run against him. Though while I deeply respect him, I oppose the Democrats, as inactivity has crippled their party, and it will not be the best interests for the Essian people to vote for the Democrats. Which is why it is so important to vote Greens, in this election, who can get the job done, and restore the heart of Esse culture.

-Artemis Langford

The Democrats have put forward their new leader, Tarik Kârjasary, who, alongside former Greens Brandon Wu and Patrick Renwick, is the one responsible for the revitalization of the formerly-dead party.

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A Democrat campaign poster.

Who is going to win?

Opinion polls for the election began as early as early as three days after the June election, and have continued into the campaign season. Earlier polls had the Greens leading by a significant margin, but this shifted only days after the election was declared.

Pollster Release date G D Other Lead
June election results 22-6-2017 56% 44% N/A 12%
Messenger 25-6-2017 75% 25% N/A 50%
Messenger 28-6-2017 66% 33% 33%
Messenger 29-6-2017 75% 25% 50%
Messenger 21-8-2017 57% 14% 29% 28%
Messenger 30-8-2017 75% 0% 25% 50%
Messenger 1-9-2017 67% 33% N/A 34%
Elections declared (22 Nov)
Messenger 23-11-2017 50% 0% 50% tie
Messenger 26-11-2017 50% 25% 25% 25%
Messenger 13-12-2017 33% 67% N/A 34%
Messenger 16-12-2017 25% 50% 25% 25%
Messenger 20-12-2017 33% 67% N/A 34%
Messenger 24-12-2017 33% 67% 34%
Messenger 27-12-2017 25% 75% 50%

What happens after the election?

Immediately after polling stations close, the results will be compiled and handed to Lord Henry. Before the final results are released to the public, Lord Henry will determine his appointees to the Parlamenzalochas and his appointee to the Healenship, using the election results as advice in making the decision.

Once he announces his appointees, Lord Henry will contact both party leaders to negotiate the new government. Issues that will be negotiated will be whether or not a coalition will be formed to bridge the parties and form a majority, as well as who will hold what offices in the government.

In the case of the June election, this process took three days. Whatever happens this time around, Essians should expect a similar lame duck period.

The Messenger will continue to post updates as the election unfolds.

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